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Superbowl lines post the Packers as 2-point favorites vs the Steelers with the total at 44.5.



What do recent trends tell us about the chances for Green Bay and Pittsburgh vs the Superbowl gambling lines at the online sportsbook?

Favorites Stressed
A lot of years ago the favorites did rather well in the Superbowl but since 1980 the favorites are just 19-11 straight up and a poor 12-16-2 vs the spread. The long shot has covered the last three Super Bowls, profitable 2 of the three straight up. The community really likes Green Bay in Superbowl XLV however the recent trends point to taking the long shot Steelers. The Packers are the tenth diverse NFC squad to play in the Superbowl in the previous 10 years. The Packers are the fourth squad to win three straight road games and attain the Superbowl. Two of the earlier three won the Superbowl. The Packers are the 1st #6 seed from the NFC to make it to the Superbowl.

Point Totals
If Green Bay is hosted to 30 points or less in the Superbowl they are most likely in trouble. The last 16 Superbowl favorites to score 30 points or less are 2-14-1 vs the spread. Let’s go one step further when it comes to the profitable point total. If a squad doesn’t get to at least 21 points in the Superbowl they practically never win. If a squad doesn’t get to at least 21 points in the Superbowl they are 1-20 straight up in the last 21 Super Bowls and a putrid 3-17-1 vs the point spread. Squads that get to 21 points or more have a very good prospect of profitable. With both Pittsburgh and Green Bay having excellent defenses it seems very probably that whoever gets to 21 points will win and cover Superbowl XLV. Looking at the total, five of the last 6 Super Bowls have gone under the total in Superbowl lines and if not for a late Pittsburgh Touchdown 2 years ago it will be 6 in a row. This season’s total of 44.5 is the lowest we have seen in the Superbowl since Superbowl XXXVIII.

NFC Edge
In the past thirty Super Bowls, the NFC is 19-11 straight up and 18-10-2 ATS. It should be mentioned though that in the previous 13 Super Bowls that the NFC is just 4-9 SU and 6-6-1 ATS. And this is the 1st time in the last 9 seasons that the NFC is going to be favored in the Superbowl.


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